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eimsori [14]
2 years ago
11

In general, the probability that it rains on Saturday is 25%. If it rains on Saturday, the probability that it rains on Sunday i

s 50%. If it does not rain on Saturday, the probability that it rains on Sunday is 25%. Given that it rained on Sunday, what is the probability that it rained on Saturday?
Mathematics
1 answer:
lora16 [44]2 years ago
5 0

Answer:

40%

Step-by-step explanation:

From the given statements:

The probability that it rains on Saturday is 25%.

P(Sunday)=25%=0.25

Given that it rains on Saturday, the probability that it rains on Sunday is 50%.

P(Sunday|Saturday)=50%=0.5

Given that it does not rain on Saturday, the probability that it rains on Sunday is 25%.

P(Sunday|No Rain on Saturday)=25%=0.25

We are to determine the probability that it rained on Saturday given that it rained on Sunday, P(Saturday|Sunday).

P(No rain on Saturday)=1-P(Saturday)=1-0.25=0.75

Using Bayes Theorem for conditional probability:

P(Saturday|Sunday)=\frac{P(Sunday|Saturday)P(Saturday)}{P(Sunday|Saturday)P(Saturday)+P(Sunday|No Rain on Saturday)P(No Rain on Saturday)}

=\frac{0.5*0.25}{0.5*0.25+0.25*0.75}

=0.4

There is a 40% probability that it rained on Saturday given that it rains on Sunday.

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In a certain community, 8% of all people above 50 years of age have diabetes. A health service in this community correctly diagnoses 95% of all person with diabetes as having the disease, and incorrectly diagnoses 10% of all person without diabetes as having the disease. Find the probability that a person randomly selected from among all people of age above 50 and diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.

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