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dimulka [17.4K]
2 years ago
13

A student wants to determine if pennies are really fair when flipped, meaning equally likely to land heads up or tails up. He fl

ips a random sample of 50 pennies and finds that 28 of them land heads up. If p denotes the true probability of a penny landing heads up when flipped, what are the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses?
Mathematics
1 answer:
Verdich [7]2 years ago
7 0

Answer:

For this case we want to determine  if pennies are really fair when flipped, meaning equally likely to land head up or tails, so then the correct system of hypothesis are:

Null hypothesis: p=0.5

Alternative hypothesis: p \neq 0.5

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A hypothesis is defined as "a speculation or theory based on insufficient evidence that lends itself to further testing and experimentation. With further testing, a hypothesis can usually be proven true or false".  

The null hypothesis is defined as "a hypothesis that says there is no statistical significance between the two variables in the hypothesis. It is the hypothesis that the researcher is trying to disprove".  

The alternative hypothesis is "just the inverse, or opposite, of the null hypothesis. It is the hypothesis that researcher is trying to prove".  

Solution to the problem

For this case we want to determine  if pennies are really fair when flipped, meaning equally likely to land head up or tails, so then the correct system of hypothesis are:

Null hypothesis: p=0.5

Alternative hypothesis: p \neq 0.5

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One of the industrial robots designed by a leading producer of servomechanisms has four major components. Components’ reliabilit
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Answer:

a) Reliability of the Robot = 0.7876

b1) Component 1: 0.8034

    Component 2: 0.8270

    Component 3: 0.8349

    Component 4: 0.8664

b2) Component 4 should get the backup in order to achieve the highest reliability.

c) Component 4 should get the backup with a reliability of 0.92, to obtain the highest overall reliability i.e. 0.8681.

Step-by-step explanation:

<u>Component Reliabilities:</u>

Component 1 (R1) : 0.98

Component 2 (R2) : 0.95

Component 3 (R3) : 0.94

Component 4 (R4) : 0.90

a) Reliability of the robot can be calculated by considering the reliabilities of all the components which are used to design the robot.

Reliability of the Robot = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4

                                      = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability of the Robot = 0.787626 ≅ 0.7876

b1) Since only one backup can be added at a time and the reliability of that backup component is the same as the original one, we will consider the backups of each of the components one by one:

<u>Reliability of the Robot with backup of component 1</u> can be computed by first finding out the chance of failure of the component along with its backup:

Chance of failure = 1 - reliability of component 1

                             = 1 - 0.98

                             = 0.02

Chance of failure of component 1 along with its backup = 0.02 x 0.02 = 0.0004

So, the reliability of component 1 and its backup (R1B) = 1 - 0.0004 = 0.9996

Reliability of the Robot = R1B x R2 x R3 x R4

                                         = 0.9996 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability of the Robot = 0.8034

<u>Similarly, to find out the reliability of component 2:</u>

Chance of failure of component 2 = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

Chance of failure of component 2 and its backup = 0.05 x 0.05 = 0.0025

Reliability of component 2 and its backup (R2B) = 1 - 0.0025 = 0.9975

Reliability of the Robot = R1 x R2B x R3 x R4

                = 0.98 x 0.9975 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability of the Robot = 0.8270

<u>Reliability of the Robot with backup of component 3 can be computed as:</u>

Chance of failure of component 3 = 1 - 0.94 = 0.06

Chance of failure of component 3 and its backup = 0.06 x 0.06 = 0.0036

Reliability of component 3 and its backup (R3B) = 1 - 0.0036 = 0.9964

Reliability of the Robot = R1 x R2 x R3B x R4  

                = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.9964 x 0.90

Reliability of the Robot = 0.8349

<u>Reliability of the Robot with backup of component 4 can be computed as:</u>

Chance of failure of component 4 = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10

Chance of failure of component 4 and its backup = 0.10 x 0.10 = 0.01

Reliability of component 4 and its backup (R4B) = 1 - 0.01 = 0.99

Reliability of the Robot = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4B

                                      = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.99

Reliability of the Robot = 0.8664

b2) According to the calculated values, the <u>highest reliability can be achieved by adding a backup of component 4 with a value of 0.8664</u>. So, <u>Component 4 should get the backup in order to achieve the highest reliability.</u>

<u></u>

c) 0.92 reliability means the chance of failure = 1 - 0.92 = 0.08

We know the chances of failure of each of the individual components. The <u>chances of failure</u> of the components along with the backup can be computed as:

Component 1 = 0.02 x 0.08 = 0.0016

Component 2 = 0.05 x 0.08 = 0.0040

Component 3 = 0.06 x 0.08 = 0.0048

Component 4 =  0.10 x 0.08 = 0.0080

So, the <u>reliability for each of the component & its backup</u> is:

Component 1 (R1BB) = 1 - 0.0016 = 0.9984

Component 2 (R2BB) = 1 - 0.0040 = 0.9960

Component 3 (R3BB) = 1 - 0.0048 = 0.9952

Component 4 (R4BB) = 1 - 0.0080 = 0.9920

<u>The reliability of the robot with backups</u> for each of the components can be computed as:

Reliability with Component 1 Backup = R1BB x R2 x R3 x R4

                                                              = 0.9984 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability with Component 1 Backup = 0.8024

Reliability with Component 2 Backup = R1 x R2BB x R3 x R4

                                                              = 0.98 x 0.9960 x 0.94 x 0.90

Reliability with Component 2 Backup = 0.8258

Reliability with Component 3 Backup = R1 x R2 x R3BB x R4

                                                               = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.9952 x 0.90

Reliability with Component 3 Backup = 0.8339

Reliability with Component 4 Backup = R1 x R2 x R3 x R4BB

                                                              = 0.98 x 0.95 x 0.94 x 0.9920

Reliability with Component 4 Backup = 0.8681

<u>Component 4 should get the backup with a reliability of 0.92, to obtain the highest overall reliability i.e. 0.8681. </u>

4 0
2 years ago
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