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sattari [20]
2 years ago
3

Current price of Stock A is $53. One investor is making a volatility bet: profits will be highest when volatility is low, such t

hat if the stock price ends up in the interval between $50 and $60. Devise a portfolio using only call options and shares of stock with the following payoff at the option expiration date.
Business
1 answer:
Anit [1.1K]2 years ago
6 0

Answer:

Please consider the following calculations

Explanation:

Before we get into the question, let's understand the payoff of following situations: Let S0 be the current stock price, S be the stock price on date of expiration and K is the strike price of call option.

Long stock = S - S0 = S - 53

Short stock = S0 - S = 53 - S

Long call option = max (S - K, 0)

Short call option = - max (S - K, 0)

Buy stock, short call at 50, short call at 60, long call at 110

Payoff = S - 53 - max (S - K1, 0) - max (S - K2, 0) + max (S - K3, 0)

When S = 50, Payoff = 50 - 53 - max (50 - 50, 0) - max (50 - 60, 0) + max (50 - 110, 0) = -3

When S = 60, Payoff = 60 - 53 - max (60 - 50, 0) - max (60 - 60, 0) + max (60 - 110, 0) = -17

Short stock, long call at 50, long call at 60, short call at 110

Payoff = 53 - S + max (S - K1, 0) + max (S - K2, 0) - max (S - K3, 0)

When S = 50, Payoff = 53 - 50 + max (50 - 50, 0) + max (50 - 60, 0) - max (50 - 110, 0) = 3

When S = 60, Payoff = 53 - 60 + max (60 - 50, 0) + max (60 - 60, 0) - max (60 - 110, 0) = 17

Buy stock, short 2 calls at 50, long call at 60, short call at 110

Payoff = S - 53 - 2 x max (S - K1, 0) + max (S - K2, 0) - max (S - K3, 0)

When S = 50, Payoff = 50 - 53 - 2 x max (50 - 50, 0) + max (50 - 60, 0) - max (50 - 110, 0) = -3

When S = 60, Payoff = 60 - 53 - 2 x max (60 - 50, 0) + max (60 - 60, 0) - max (60 - 110, 0) = -13

Short stock, long 2 calls at 50, short call at 60, long call at 110

Payoff = 53 - S + 2 x max (S - K1, 0) - max (S - K2, 0) + max (S - K3, 0)

When S = 50, Payoff = 50 - 53 + 2 x max (50 - 50, 0) - max (50 - 60, 0) + max (50 - 110, 0) = -3

When S = 60, Payoff = 60 - 53 + 2 x max (60 - 50, 0) - max (60 - 60, 0) + max (60 - 110, 0) = 27

Thus, option 2 is the only option where there is always a profit irrespective of where stock price lands up in the range of $ 50 to $ 60. Hence, please choose the second option position:

Short stock, long call at 50, long call at 60, short call at 110

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Following is the Format of income statement

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Explanation:

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Production and Sales 4,000,000.00   4,000,000.00   4,000,000.00  

Variable cost @ 10  40,000,000.00   40,000,000.00   40,000,000.00  

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Multiply by:

Growth(.1*.5)+(-.05*.5) 1.025                        1.025^2                  1.025^3  

NET CASHFLOWS  30,827,068.00   31,597,744.00   32,387,688.00  

DCF @ 10%     0.909090909           0.83                  0.75  

Present Values  28,024,607.27   26,113,838.02   24,333,349.36  

NET TOTAL COST 78,471,794.65  

or building 2 million units of capacity in each of the two loca-tions. Building two plants will incur an additional one-time cost of $2 million.

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Production and Sales       4,000,000.00      4,000,000.00   4,000,000.00  

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140,000=R (1-(1+.14)^-7)/.14

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R=$140,000/4.288

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