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Nikolay [14]
2 years ago
15

A student in an intro stats course collects data at her university. she wants to model the relationship between student jobs and

gpa. she collects a random sample of students and asks each for their gpa and the number of hours per week they work. she checks the conditions and makes a linear model with gpa as the response variable. she finds that the​ r-squared statistic is​ 12.7%. what is the correct interpretation of this​ number?
Mathematics
2 answers:
FrozenT [24]2 years ago
6 0

Answer:

12.7% changes in gpa can be accounted because of number of working hours    

Step-by-step explanation:

R^2  plays an important role in the linear regression.

R^2 explain variance, basically it explains the variation in the model, and our aim is to minimize the residuals.

It explains the change in the dependent variable cause by the independent variable.

Formula:

R^2 = \frac{\text{Explained}}{\text{Total Variation}} = \frac{\text{Sum of squares of regression}}{\text{Total variation}} = \frac{\text{1 - Sum of squares of residuals}}{\text{Total variation}}

The student says that gpa is the dependent variable and and number of working hour is the independent cariable.

R^2 = 12.7%

This means 12.7% change in the dependent variable is explained by the independent variable that is 12.7% changes in gpa can be accounted because of number of working hours

.

Karo-lina-s [1.5K]2 years ago
4 0

Answer:

We are given:

R^{2}=12.7\%

The interpretation of R^{2} is the amount of variation in response variable that is explained by the explanatory variable in the model

Therefore, the interpretation of R^{2}=12.7\% is 12.7% of variation in gpa response variable is explained by the jobs explanatory variable in the given linear regression model.


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Customers are used to evaluate a preliminary product design. In the past, 95% of highly successful products received good review
Sever21 [200]

Answer:

a. 61.5%; b. About 61.8%; c. About 36.4%

Step-by-step explanation:

This is a kind of question that we can solve using the Bayes' Theorem. We have here all the different conditional probabilities we need to solve this problem.

According to that theorem, the probability of a selected product attains a good review is:

\\ P(G) = P(G|H)*P(H) + P(G|M)*P(M) + P(G|P)*P(P) (1)

In words, the probability that a selected product attains a <em>good review</em> is an <em>event </em>that depends upon the sum of the conditional probabilities that the product comes from <em>high successful product</em> P(G|H) by the probability that this product is a <em>highly successful product</em> P(H), plus the same about the rest of the probabilities, that is, P(G|M)*P(M) or the probability that the product has a good review coming from a <em>moderately successful</em> product by the probability of being moderately successful, and a good review coming from a poor successful product by the probability of being poor successful or P(G|P)*P(P).

<h3>The probability that a randomly selected product attains a good review</h3>

In this way, the probability that a randomly selected product attains a good review is the result of the formula (1). Where (from the question):

P(G|H) = 95% or 0.95 (probability of receiving a good review being a highly successful product)

P(G|M) = 60% or 0.60 (probability of receiving a good review being a moderately successful product)

P(G|P) = 10% or 0.10 (probability of receiving a good review being a poorly successful product)

P(H) = 40% or 0.40 (probability of  being a highly successful product).

P(M) = 35% or 0.35 (probability of  being a moderately successful product).

P(P) = 25% or 0.25 (probability of  being a poor successful product).

Then,

\\ P(G) = P(G|H)*P(H) + P(G|M)*P(M) + P(G|P)*P(P)

\\ P(G) = 0.95*0.40 + 0.60*0.35 + 0.10*0.25

\\ P(G) = 0.615\;or\; 61.5\%

That is, <em>the probability that a randomly selected product attains a good review</em> is 61.5%.

<h3>The probability that a new product attains a good review is a highly successful product</h3>

We are looking here for P(H|G). We can express this probability mathematically as follows (another conditional probability):

\\ P(H|G) = \frac{P(G|H)*P(H)}{P(G)}

We can notice that the probability represents a fraction from the probability P(G) already calculated. Then,

\\ P(H|G) = \frac{0.95*0.40}{0.615}

\\ P(H|G) =\frac{0.38}{0.615}

\\ P(H|G) =0.618

Then, the probability of a product that attains a good review is indeed a highly successful product is about 0.618 or 61.8%.

<h3>The probability that a product that <em>does not attain </em>a good review is a moderately successful product</h3>

The probability that a product does not attain a good review is given by a similar formula than (1). However, this probability is the complement of P(G). Mathematically:

\\ P(NG) = P(NG|H)*P(H) + P(NG|M)*P(M) + P(NG|P)*P(P)

P(NG|H) = 1 - P(G|H) = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

P(NG|M) = 1 - P(G|M) = 1 - 0.60 = 0.40

P(NG|P) = 1 - P(G|M) = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90

So

\\ P(NG) = 0.05*0.40 + 0.40*0.35 + 0.90*0.25

\\ P(NG) = 0.385\;or\; 38.5\%

Which is equal to

P(NG) = 1 - P(G) = 1 - 0.615 = 0.385

Well, having all this information at hand:

\\ P(M|NG) = \frac{P(NG|M)*P(M)}{P(NG)}

\\ P(M|NG) = \frac{0.40*0.35}{0.385}

\\ P(M|NG) = \frac{0.14}{0.385}

\\ P(M|NG) = 0.363636... \approx 0.364

Then, the <em>probability that a new product does not attain a good review and it is a moderately successful product is about </em>0.364 or 36.4%.

8 0
1 year ago
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