Question

You and a group of friends are going to a five-day outdoor music festival during spring break. You hope it does not rain during the festival, but the weather forecast says there is a 45% chance of rain on the first day, a 55% chance of rain on the second day, a 10% chance of rain on the third day, a 10% chance of rain on the fourth day, and a 5% chance of rain on the fifth day. Assume these probabilities are independent of whether it rained on the previous day or not. What is the probability that it does not rain during the entire festival? Express your answer as a percentage to two decimal places.

Answer 1

Answer:

The probability of not rain during the entire festival is 0.19

Step-by-step explanation:

The Complement Rule states that the sum of the probabilities of an event and its complement must equal 1.

In this case we have the probability of raining of each day,  we need the probability of NOT raining.  

First day= 45% chance of rain, the complement is 55%

Second day 55% chance of rain, the complement is 45%

Third day a 10% chance of rain, the complement is 90%

Fourth day a 10% chance of rain, the complement is 90%

Fifth day 5% chance of rain, the complement is 95%

To get the probability of NOT raining in the entire festival is the multiplication of all the complements.

P(not raining) = 0.55 x 0.45 x 0.90 x 0.90 x 0.95= 0.19