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AnnyKZ [126]
2 years ago
7

Let’s play Pick-A-Ball with replacement! There are 10 colored balls: 3 red, 4 white, and 3 blue. The balls have been placed into

a small bucket, and the bucket has been shaken thoroughly. You will be asked to reach into the bucket, without looking, and select two balls. Since the bucket has been shaken thoroughly, you can assume that each individual ball is selected at random with equal likelihood of being chosen. Now, close your eyes! Reach into the bucket, and pick a ball. (Click "Pick-A-Ball!" to select your ball.) Pick-A-Ball! What is the probability of selecting the color of ball that you just selected? (Enter your answer in decimal format and round it to two decimal places.)
Mathematics
1 answer:
Anettt [7]2 years ago
3 0

Answer:

0.48

Step-by-step explanation:

There are 10 colored balls: 3 red, 4 white, and 3 blue.

You selected 2 balls at random. They may be

RR, WW, BB, RW, RB, WB, WR, BR, BW.

To find the probability of selecting the color of ball that you just selected, find this probability in each of previous cases:

RR: (One red ball left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{RR}=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot \dfrac{2}{9}\cdot \dfrac{1}{8}=\dfrac{1}{120}

WW: (Two white balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{WW}=\dfrac{4}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{2}{8}=\dfrac{1}{30}

BB: (One blue ball left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{BB}=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot \dfrac{2}{9}\cdot \dfrac{1}{8}=\dfrac{1}{120}

RW: (Two red and three white balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{RW}=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot \dfrac{4}{9}\cdot \dfrac{5}{8}=\dfrac{1}{12}

RB: (Two red and two blue balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{RB}=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{4}{8}=\dfrac{1}{20}

WB: (Two blue and three white balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{WB}=\dfrac{4}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{5}{8}=\dfrac{1}{12}

WR: (Two red and three white balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{WR}=\dfrac{4}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{5}{8}=\dfrac{1}{12}

BR: (Two red and two blue balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{BR}=\dfrac{3}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{4}{8}=\dfrac{1}{20}

BW: (Two blue and three white balls left and 8 balls left in total)

P_{BW}=\dfrac{4}{10}\cdot \dfrac{3}{9}\cdot \dfrac{5}{8}=\dfrac{1}{12}

In total, the probability of selecting the color of ball that you just selected is

\dfrac{1}{120}+\dfrac{1}{30}+\dfrac{1}{120}+2\cdot\dfrac{1}{12}+2\cdot \dfrac{1}{20}+2\cdot \dfrac{1}{12}=\\ \\=\dfrac{1}{120}+\dfrac{4}{120}+\dfrac{1}{120}+\dfrac{20}{120}+\dfrac{12}{120}+\dfrac{20}{120}=\dfrac{58}{120}=\dfrac{29}{60}\approx 0.48

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According to the WHO MONICA Project the mean blood pressure for people in China is 128 mmHg with a standard deviation of 23 mmHg
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Answer:

a) Mean blood pressure for people in China.

b) 38.21% probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 135 mmHg or more.

c) 71.30% probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 141 mmHg or less.

d) 8.51% probability that a person in China has blood pressure between 120 and 125 mmHg.

e) Since Z when X = 135 is less than two standard deviations from the mean, it is not unusual for a person in China to have a blood pressure of 135 mmHg

f) 157.44mmHg

Step-by-step explanation:

When the distribution is normal, we use the z-score formula.

In a set with mean \mu and standard deviation \sigma, the zscore of a measure X is given by:

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

If X is two standard deviations from the mean or more, it is considered unusual.

In this question:

\mu = 128, \sigma = 23

a.) State the random variable.

Mean blood pressure for people in China.

b.) Find the probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 135 mmHg or more.

This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 135.

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Z = \frac{135 - 128}{23}

Z = 0.3

Z = 0.3 has a pvalue of 0.6179

1 - 0.6179 = 0.3821

38.21% probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 135 mmHg or more.

c.) Find the probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 141 mmHg or less.

This is the pvalue of Z when X = 141.

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Z = \frac{141 - 128}{23}

Z = 0.565

Z = 0.565 has a pvalue of 0.7140

71.30% probability that a person in China has blood pressure of 141 mmHg or less.

d.)Find the probability that a person in China has blood pressure between 120 and 125 mmHg.

This is the pvalue of Z when X = 125 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 120. So

X = 125

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Z = \frac{125 - 128}{23}

Z = -0.13

Z = -0.13 has a pvalue of 0.4483

X = 120

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Z = \frac{120 - 128}{23}

Z = -0.35

Z = -0.35 has a pvalue of 0.3632

0.4483 - 0.3632 = 0.0851

8.51% probability that a person in China has blood pressure between 120 and 125 mmHg.

e.) Is it unusual for a person in China to have a blood pressure of 135 mmHg? Why or why not?

From b), when X = 135, Z = 0.3

Since Z when X = 135 is less than two standard deviations from the mean, it is not unusual for a person in China to have a blood pressure of 135 mmHg.

f.) What blood pressure do 90% of all people in China have less than?

This is the 90th percentile, which is X when Z has a pvalue of 0.28. So X when Z = 1.28. Then

X = 120

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

1.28 = \frac{X - 128}{23}

X - 128 = 1.28*23

X = 157.44

So

157.44mmHg

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